Saturday’s game between the Samford Bulldogs (17-5, 7-2 SoCon) and the Citadel Bulldogs (5-15, 0-9 SoCon) at McAlister Field House has a good chance to be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 82-67 and heavily favors Samford to take home the win. Game time is at 1:00 PM ET on February 1.

Based on our computer prediction, Citadel is projected to cover the point spread (16.5) versus Samford. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 143.5 over/under.

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Samford vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Charleston, South Carolina
• Venue: McAlister Field House
• Line: Samford -16.5
• Point total: 143.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -3030, Citadel +1120

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Samford vs. Citadel Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 82, Citadel 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. Citadel

• Pick ATS: Citadel (+16.5)
• Pick OU: Over (143.5)

Samford is 10-10-0 against the spread this season compared to Citadel’s 6-10-0 ATS record. A total of seven out of the Samford Bulldogs’ games this season have gone over the point total, and eight of the Citadel Bulldogs’ games have gone over. The teams average 152.2 points per game, 8.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Samford has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Citadel has gone 3-7 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Samford Bulldogs have a +228 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.4 points per game. They’re putting up 83.8 points per game to rank 17th in college basketball and are giving up 73.4 per outing to rank 236th in college basketball.
• Samford ranks 218th in college basketball at 31.8 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.6 its opponents average.
• Samford knocks down 10.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents (7.8). It is shooting 37.5% from deep (30th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 31.8%.
• The Samford Bulldogs average 101.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (61st in college basketball), and allow 89.0 points per 100 possessions (105th in college basketball).
• Samford has won the turnover battle by 2.4 turnovers per game, committing 12.7 (296th in college basketball action) while forcing 15.1 (10th in college basketball).

Citadel Performance Insights

• The Citadel Bulldogs are being outscored by 5.8 points per game, with a -116 scoring differential overall. They put up 68.4 points per game (315th in college basketball), and give up 74.2 per contest (256th in college basketball).
• Citadel loses the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. It pulls down 31.8 rebounds per game (218th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.2.
• Citadel makes 8.1 three-pointers per game (141st in college basketball) at a 30.6% rate (330th in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 its opponents make, shooting 35.0% from beyond the arc.
• Citadel has committed 1.9 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.5 (281st in college basketball) while forcing 10.6 (271st in college basketball).

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