Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

Our computer model projects a victory for the Denver Broncos when they play the Atlanta Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 4:05 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Broncos have the 22nd-ranked offense this season (19.7 points per game), and they’ve been better on defense, ranking fourth-best with only 17.7 points allowed per game. The Falcons are compiling 23.8 points per game on offense this season (13th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 23.6 points per contest (20th-ranked) on defense.

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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Broncos (-2) Under (44.5) Broncos 24, Falcons 19

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 47.6%.
  • Atlanta is 5-5-0 ATS this year.
  • The Falcons have been an underdog by 2 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • So far this season, four of Atlanta’s 10 games with a set number have hit the over.
  • This season, Falcons games have resulted in an average scoring total of 46.5, which is two points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Broncos a 56.5% chance to win.
  • Denver has compiled a 7-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • When playing as at least 2-point favorites this season, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-0.
  • A total of six out of 10 Denver games this season have hit the over.
  • The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 4.7 higher than the average total in Broncos games this season.

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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Broncos 19.7 17.7 21 17 18.8 18.2
Falcons 23.8 23.6 21.7 24.8 27 21.8

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