Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 5

Published 7:37 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Our computer model predicts a win for the Atlanta Falcons when they face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons rank 22nd in the NFL with 18.8 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th in points allowed (336.5 points allowed per contest). In terms of points scored the Buccaneers rank 11th in the NFL (24.3 points per game), and they are ninth on the other side of the ball (19.5 points allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Falcons by 1.5) Under (44) Falcons 22, Buccaneers 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 55.6%.
  • Atlanta has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • Atlanta games have gone over the point total just once this season.
  • Falcons games have had an average of 44.3 points this season, 0.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.
  • Tampa Bay has put together a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Buccaneers have won their only game this season when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total twice this year.
  • The average total points scored in Buccaneers games this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.8 21.3 17.7 21.3 22.0 21.0
Buccaneers 24.3 19.5 25.7 20.7 20.0 16.0

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