Our computer model predicts a victory for the Atlanta Falcons when they meet the Kansas City Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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Despite having a bottom-five defense that ranks fourth-worst in the NFL (386 yards allowed per game), the Chiefs have put up better results on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th in the NFL by averaging 319.5 yards per game. In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 24th in the NFL (16 points per game), and they are 11th on the other side of the ball (19.5 points allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 41.7%.
• Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
• Atlanta has yet to hit the over in any game this season.
• Games involving the Falcons this year have averaged 44.5 points per game, a two-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 62.3% in this contest.
• Kansas City has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have been favored by 3 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• So far this season, two Kansas City games have hit the over.
• The total for this game is 46.5, 0.5 points fewer than the average total in Chiefs games thus far this season.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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