Wednesday’s game that pits the Samford Bulldogs (18-5, 8-2 SoCon) versus the Mercer Bears (11-12, 4-6 SoCon) at Pete Hanna Center is expected to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 84-71 in favor of Samford, who is big favorites by our model. Game time is at 7:30 PM ET on February 5.

Based on our computer prediction, Samford projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mercer. The over/under has been set at 157.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Samford vs. Mercer Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, February 5, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Birmingham, Alabama
• Venue: Pete Hanna Center
• Line: Samford -11.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -699, Mercer +470

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Samford vs. Mercer Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 84, Mercer 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. Mercer

• Pick ATS: Samford (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Samford is 11-10-0 against the spread this season compared to Mercer’s 12-9-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Bulldogs are 7-14-0 and the Bears are 10-11-0. The teams score 163.4 points per game, 5.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Samford has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Mercer has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +253 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 83.7 points per game (15th in college basketball) while giving up 72.7 per contest (221st in college basketball).
• Samford ranks 209th in college basketball at 31.9 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.0 its opponents average.
• Samford hits 2.9 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.8 (fifth-most in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.9.
• The Bulldogs rank 46th in college basketball with 102.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 90th in college basketball defensively with 88.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Samford has come up on top in the turnover battle by 2.1 turnovers per game, committing 12.9 (311th in college basketball play) while forcing 15.0 (12th in college basketball).

Mercer Performance Insights

• The Bears put up 79.7 points per game (58th in college basketball) while giving up 75.3 per contest (283rd in college basketball). They have a +101 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 4.4 points per game.
• Mercer is 35th in the country at 35.7 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 35.3 its opponents average.
• Mercer knocks down 9.0 three-pointers per game (65th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.6. It shoots 33.3% from deep, and its opponents shoot 32.9%.
• Mercer has committed 1.7 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 11.7 (226th in college basketball) while forcing 13.4 (50th in college basketball).

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