Wednesday’s game that pits the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3, 6-1 SEC) versus the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4, 4-3 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 82-78 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, who we project as a small favorite in this matchup. Game time is at 9:00 PM ET on January 29.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the spread (1.5) against Mississippi State. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 165.5 over/under.

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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -1.5
• Point total: 165.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -120, Alabama +100

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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 82, Mississippi State 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Mississippi State has put together a 9-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Alabama is 11-9-0. The Bulldogs have gone over the point total in 10 games, while Crimson Tide games have gone over 11 times. The teams score 171.1 points per game, 5.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Mississippi State is 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs average 80.7 points per game (44th in college basketball) while allowing 69.5 per contest (119th in college basketball). They have a +223 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 11.2 points per game.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 4.3 boards on average. It records 36.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 27th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32 per outing.
• Mississippi State knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (102nd in college basketball) at a 32.1% rate (273rd in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.
• The Bulldogs average 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (70th in college basketball), and give up 87.1 points per 100 possessions (63rd in college basketball).
• Mississippi State has won the turnover battle by 3.4 turnovers per game, committing 10 (50th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.4 (58th in college basketball).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 11.9 points per game, with a +237 scoring differential overall. They put up 90.4 points per game (first in college basketball) and allow 78.5 per outing (330th in college basketball).
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by an average of 7.6 boards. It collects 40.6 rebounds per game (third in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.
• Alabama makes three more threes per game than the opposition, 9.9 (32nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.9.
• Alabama has committed 12.1 turnovers per game (257th in college basketball), 1.6 more than the 10.5 it forces (285th in college basketball).

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