Wednesday’s game that pits the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3, 6-1 SEC) versus the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4, 4-3 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 82-78 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET on January 29.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is a good bet to cover the spread, which is listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 164.5 total.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -1.5
• Point total: 164.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -111, Mississippi State -108

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 82, Mississippi State 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Alabama (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (164.5)

Alabama has put together an 11-9-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi State is 9-11-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Crimson Tide are 11-9-0 and the Bulldogs are 10-10-0. The two teams combine to score 171.1 points per game, 6.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall while Mississippi State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide average 90.4 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 78.5 per outing (332nd in college basketball). They have a +237 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 11.9 points per game.
• Alabama is third in the nation at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 7.6 more than the 33.0 its opponents average.
• Alabama knocks down 9.9 three-pointers per game (32nd in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents (6.9).
• The Crimson Tide average 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (39th in college basketball), and allow 89.6 points per 100 possessions (123rd in college basketball).
• Alabama has committed 1.6 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.1 (259th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.5 (287th in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 11.2 points per game (posting 80.7 points per game, 43rd in college basketball, and conceding 69.5 per outing, 117th in college basketball) and have a +223 scoring differential.
• Mississippi State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.3 boards. It grabs 36.3 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.0.
• Mississippi State connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
• Mississippi State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.0 per game (49th in college basketball) while forcing 13.4 (58th in college basketball).

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