Wednesday’s contest at Pete Hanna Center has the Samford Bulldogs (10-3, 0-0 SoCon) matching up with the Citadel Bulldogs (5-6, 0-0 SoCon) at 7:30 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 86-69 win, as our model heavily favors Samford.

Based on our computer prediction, Citadel projects to cover the 19.5-point spread in its matchup against Samford. The over/under has been set at 153.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Samford vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Birmingham, Alabama
• Venue: Pete Hanna Center
• Line: Samford -19.5
• Point total: 153.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -4545, Citadel +1600

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Samford vs. Citadel Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 86, Citadel 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. Citadel

• Pick ATS: Citadel (+19.5)
• Pick OU: Over (153.5)

Samford is 5-6-0 against the spread, while Citadel’s ATS record this season is 3-4-0. The Samford Bulldogs have hit the over in seven games, while Citadel Bulldogs games have gone over four times. The two teams score 162.5 points per game, 9.0 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Samford Bulldogs outscore opponents by 11.2 points per game (scoring 89 points per game to rank fourth in college basketball while giving up 77.8 per contest to rank 322nd in college basketball) and have a +145 scoring differential overall.
• Samford grabs 32.5 rebounds per game (218th in college basketball) compared to the 33.5 of its opponents.
• Samford knocks down 11.7 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in college basketball), 3.8 more than its opponents (7.9). It is shooting 38% from deep (40th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.2%.
• The Samford Bulldogs’ 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 60th in college basketball, and the 90.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 172nd in college basketball.
• Samford has come up on top in the turnover battle by 3.8 turnovers per game, committing 12.7 (276th in college basketball action) while forcing 16.5 (fourth in college basketball).

Citadel Performance Insights

• The Citadel Bulldogs have a +14 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.2 points per game. They’re putting up 73.5 points per game, 242nd in college basketball, and are allowing 72.3 per outing to rank 212th in college basketball.
• The 35.4 rebounds per game Citadel accumulates rank 71st in college basketball, five more than the 30.4 its opponents pull down.
• Citadel hits 8.5 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball), 1.2 more than its opponents.
• Citadel has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.7 per game (276th in college basketball) while forcing 11 (265th in college basketball).

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