Wednesday’s contest at Dean E. Smith Center has the No. 20 North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3) taking on the No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) at 7:15 PM ET (on December 4). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 85-83 win for North Carolina, so it should be a competitive matchup.

According to our computer prediction, North Carolina should cover the spread, which currently sits at 1.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 175.5 over/under.

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North Carolina vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2024
• Time: 7:15 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Venue: Dean E. Smith Center
• Line: North Carolina -1.5
• Point total: 175.5
• Moneyline (to win): North Carolina -128, Alabama +106

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North Carolina vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Carolina 85, Alabama 83

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (175.5)

North Carolina has a 3-4-0 record against the spread this season compared to Alabama, who is 3-5-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Tar Heels are 6-1-0 and the Crimson Tide are 5-3-0. The teams combine to score 178.3 points per game, 2.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

• The Tar Heels outscore opponents by 9.6 points per game (scoring 89.7 points per game to rank seventh in college basketball while giving up 80.1 per contest to rank 336th in college basketball) and have a +67 scoring differential overall.
• The 34.7 rebounds per game North Carolina averages rank 121st in the nation. Its opponents grab 33.9 per contest.
• North Carolina makes 8.3 three-pointers per game (145th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 9.0 on average.
• The Tar Heels rank 19th in college basketball with 108.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 305th in college basketball defensively with 96.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• North Carolina forces 10.0 turnovers per game (317th in college basketball) while committing 9.3 (25th in college basketball action).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide put up 88.6 points per game (11th in college basketball) while giving up 78.0 per contest (318th in college basketball). They have a +85 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 10.6 points per game.
• Alabama is seventh in the nation at 40.3 rebounds per game. That’s 8.8 more than the 31.5 its opponents average.
• Alabama hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (54th in college basketball) while shooting 32.6% from beyond the arc (214th in college basketball). It is making 3.4 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.4 per game at 29.5%.
• Alabama has committed 2.7 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.0 (208th in college basketball) while forcing 9.3 (340th in college basketball).

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