Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29, the Atlanta Falcons play the New Orleans Saints, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Saints should be victorious, according to our computer model — continue scrolling to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Falcons are averaging 307.3 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 20th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 18th, giving up 326.7 yards per contest. The Saints are posting 343.3 total yards per game on offense this season (ninth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 335.3 total yards per contest (21st-ranked).

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+3) Over (41) Saints 22, Falcons 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
  • Falcons games average 45.2 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 4.2 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 43.5% chance to win.
  • New Orleans has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • This season, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
  • The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 16.3 20.3 13.5 20 22 21
Saints 34.3 14.7 29.5 12.5 44 19

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